Housing Intelligence · Development feasibility · Preview · Model v2.4.0

DevelopmentIntel

Harborline Commons (Fictional Demo)

Riverton, Anystate (fictional) · 120 units · Market-rate · 0 restricted units

Clone as
Total dev. cost
$49.76M
$414,644 / unit
Stabilized NOI
$2.55M
Year 1
Yield on cost
5.12%
Funding gap
$6.85M
Unfunded
Levered IRR
6.24%
Equity · unlevered 6.45%
Equity multiple
1.97×
Cash-on-cash
2.44%
Stabilized year 1
DSCR
1.25×
Binding: DSCR

Additional equity of 950,560 is needed at conversion to retire the construction loan.

Uses

Land & acquisition$4,950,000
Hard costs$33,800,000
Hard cost contingency$1,690,000
Soft costs$4,350,000
Soft cost contingency$217,500
Developer fee$1,602,300
Capitalized construction interest$2,848,948
Construction loan fees$298,544
Total$49,757,291

Sources

Permanent loan (DSCR)$28,903,815
Sponsor / investor equity$14,000,000
Funding gap$6,853,477
Total$49,757,291

Debt sizing

By LTC
$32,342,239
By LTV
$32,394,886
By DSCR
$28,903,815

Loan = min of the three. Stabilized value $46,278,408; annual debt service $2,036,250.

Rent roll & operating statement

UnitTierUnitsHH sizeIncome limitMax grossUANet rent/moBasisAnnual
StudioMarket24.0————$2,150Market$619,200
1 BedroomMarket60.0————$2,650Market$1,908,000
2 BedroomMarket36.0————$3,450Market$1,490,400
Gross potential rent$4,017,600
Vacancy & credit loss (% of GPR)-$200,880
Concessions (% of occupied rent)-$38,167
Other income (occupied units)$102,600
Rental assistance & operating subsidies$0
Effective gross income$3,881,153
Operating expenses, taxes, mgmt & reserves-$1,335,840
Net operating income$2,545,312

Construction financing

Loan commitment
$29,854,375
Balance at conversion
$29,854,375
Capitalized interest
$2,848,948
Loan fees
$298,544
Equity during construction
$19,902,917
Equity at conversion
$950,560
Conversion month
34
Interest solve
11 iter. · converged
Monthly draw schedule (35 months)
MoPhaseCostLoan feeInterestEquitySourcesLoan drawBalance
0Predevelopment$6.78M$0$0$6.78M$0$0$0
1Predevelopment$0$0$0$0$0$0$0
2Predevelopment$0$0$0$0$0$0$0
3Predevelopment$0$0$0$0$0$0$0
4Predevelopment$0$0$0$0$0$0$0
5Predevelopment$0$0$0$0$0$0$0
6Predevelopment$0$299K$0$299K$0$0$0
7Construction$365K$0$0$365K$0$0$0
8Construction$816K$0$0$816K$0$0$0
9Construction$1.25M$0$0$1.25M$0$0$0
10Construction$1.66M$0$0$1.66M$0$0$0
11Construction$2.03M$0$0$2.03M$0$0$0
12Construction$2.35M$0$0$2.35M$0$0$0
13Construction$2.62M$0$0$2.62M$0$0$0
14Construction$2.83M$0$0$1.74M$0$1.08M$1.08M
15Construction$2.97M$0$7K$0$0$2.97M$4.06M
16Construction$3.04M$0$27K$0$0$3.07M$7.12M
17Construction$3.04M$0$47K$0$0$3.09M$10.21M
18Construction$2.97M$0$68K$0$0$3.03M$13.24M
19Construction$2.83M$0$88K$0$0$2.91M$16.16M
20Construction$2.62M$0$108K$0$0$2.73M$18.88M
21Construction$2.35M$0$126K$0$0$2.48M$21.36M
22Construction$2.03M$0$142K$0$0$2.17M$23.53M
23Construction$1.66M$0$157K$0$0$1.81M$25.34M
24Construction$1.25M$0$169K$0$0$1.42M$26.76M
25Construction$816K$0$178K$0$0$995K$27.76M
26Construction$365K$0$185K$0$0$550K$28.31M
27Lease-up$0$0$189K$0$0$189K$28.50M
28Lease-up$0$0$190K$0$0$190K$28.69M
29Lease-up$0$0$191K$0$0$191K$28.88M
30Lease-up$0$0$193K$0$0$193K$29.07M
31Lease-up$0$0$194K$0$0$194K$29.27M
32Lease-up$0$0$195K$0$0$195K$29.46M
33Lease-up$0$0$196K$0$0$196K$29.66M
34Lease-up$0$0$198K$0$0$198K$29.85M

Annual equity cash flow

Equity is drawn monthly during development (first-dollar) and at conversion; operating years begin 2.83 years after equity close. IRR uses exact time stamps.

YrtMarket GPRRestricted GPREGIOpExNOISenior DSSoft / feeCash flowCapitalNet saleTotal
00.00Development equity, net (construction + conversion)−$20.85M
13.83$4.02M$0$3.88M$1.34M$2.55M$2.04M$0$509K$0$0$509K
24.83$4.14M$0$4.00M$1.38M$2.62M$2.04M$0$585K$0$0$585K
35.83$4.26M$0$4.12M$1.42M$2.70M$2.04M$0$664K$0$0$664K
46.83$4.39M$0$4.24M$1.46M$2.78M$2.04M$0$745K$0$0$745K
57.83$4.52M$0$4.37M$1.50M$2.86M$2.04M$0$829K$0$0$829K
68.83$4.66M$0$4.50M$1.55M$2.95M$2.04M$0$914K$0$0$914K
79.83$4.80M$0$4.63M$1.60M$3.04M$2.04M$0$1.00M$0$0$1.00M
810.83$4.94M$0$4.77M$1.64M$3.13M$2.04M$0$1.09M$0$0$1.09M
911.83$5.09M$0$4.92M$1.69M$3.22M$2.04M$0$1.19M$0$0$1.19M
1012.83$5.24M$0$5.06M$1.74M$3.32M$2.04M$0$1.28M$0$32.28M$33.56M

Exit: forward NOI ÷ exit cap = $59,490,210, less sales costs, senior payoff $25,723,113, soft loans $0 and deferred fee $0 = $32,279,843 to equity.

Feasibility scorecard

Separate flags with their evidence. There is deliberately no combined score; this is not a feasibility determination, credit decision or loan approval. Thresholds are disclosed rules of thumb, not lender or program standards.

Debt coverageNo flag
  • Year-1 DSCR 1.25x vs your minimum 1.25x (binding: DSCR).
  • Lowest DSCR in hold 1.25x (year 1).
Funding gapConcern
  • Funding gap $6,853,477 (13.8% of TDC); equity required $20,853,477 vs sponsor equity entered $14,000,000.
Operating cash flowNo flag
  • Year-1 cash flow $509,062; NOI $2,545,312.
  • No negative cash-flow years in hold.
Downside sensitivityConcern
  • Rent −10%: gap $10,994,111, IRR 3.2%.
  • Hard cost +10%: gap $10,782,018, IRR 4.7%.
  • Both: gap $14,922,652, IRR 1.8%.
Unverified subsidies & creditsNot applicable
  • No program sources entered.
Data quality & provenanceWatch
  • Demo project — all figures fictional.
  • 0 of 8 benchmark categories have a verified, sourced benchmark.

Model status

Engine v2.4.0 · inputs valid

Validation: automated tests reconcile this engine against an independent Python reference model for nine fixtures — market-rate, mixed-income, 100% affordable, 100% vacancy, three-maturity refinance chain, soft-loan draw accrual, zero debt, rate/cost/rent stress and negative NOI. Each is checked for development cost, construction interest, NOI, debt sizing, every year's cash flow, restricted rent, refinance events, soft-loan interest, sale proceeds, sources = uses, IRR and multiple — plus edge-case and CSV-parity tests. Passing tests show internal consistency, not real-world accuracy.

Known limitations

  • No lease-up income: the property earns nothing until stabilization; operations start the month after lease-up ends.
  • Annual (not monthly) operating periods; construction-source draws are allocated pro rata across construction-funded sources.
  • Future restricted rent caps are projections unless you enter each year's income-limit change; no future HUD limits are known to the app.
  • At most five sequential refinances; investor equity is a single class (no waterfall, promote, taxes or depreciation).
  • Income limits, rent ceilings, utility allowances, subsidies and tax credit equity are your inputs — never fetched, verified, or certified for any program (LIHTC, HOME, Section 8 and others differ). No eligible basis or credit sizing.
Changelog
  1. v2.4.0 · Phase 4 — underwriting reporting (preview)
    • Excel (.xlsx) pro forma with live formulas: budget, monthly draws and capitalized interest, rent roll and restricted caps, annual operations through year 15, debt sizing, sources & uses, equity flows, IRR, LIHTC basis → credits.
    • Engine-only items (soft-loan payments, refinance events, bridge interest, scenarios, sensitivity, benchmarks) are shaded as engine values; a Checks tab reconciles formulas with the app.
    • Printable underwriting report and a multi-factor feasibility scorecard (flags with evidence, no combined score, not a loan approval).
    • Calculation engine unchanged; saved drafts unaffected.
  2. v2.3.0 · Phase 3 — Market benchmarks (preview)
    • New Market tab: manual or CSV-imported benchmarks (HUD FMR, HUD income limits, market rent, vacancy, hard cost, loan rates) with source, geography, period and dates.
    • Compared to your assumptions with matching units and denominators; flags for unverified, unsourced, stale, future-dated, geography mismatch and rent-basis mismatch.
    • No live data feeds. Missing items show “No verified benchmark available”; benchmarks never change the model unless you press Apply. HUD FMR is never applied as market rent.
    • Saved drafts upgrade automatically (schema 5) with an empty benchmark list; engine results unchanged.
  3. v2.2.0 · Phase 2B — optional LIHTC module (preview)
    • 4% / 9% credit modeling from your entries: eligible basis by cost line, exclusions, reductions, manual boost, applicable fraction (lesser of unit and floor-area fractions), qualified basis, acquisition basis for acq/rehab.
    • Annual and 10-year credits, optional allocation cap, investor share and price, first-year fraction with year-11 catch-up.
    • Credit equity is a capital source with a pay-in schedule (construction, conversion, later milestones bridged at your rate); basis ↔ construction interest solved iteratively.
    • No-LIHTC vs 4% vs 9% comparison, 15-year credit/compliance-period projection, double-count guard for manual credit equity.
    • Saved drafts upgrade automatically (schema 4) with the module off, so existing results do not change.
  4. v2.1.0 · Affordable review
    • Restricted rents grow at their own rate, capped each year by income-limit changes you enter; blank years are flagged as projections.
    • Utility allowances grow with expense growth when projecting restricted caps.
    • Construction-funded soft loans accrue interest from each draw date (deferred to conversion, not added to development cost).
    • Up to five sequential refinance events with event-by-event amortization, costs, balloons and forced payoff.
    • Saved drafts upgrade automatically (schema 3): a single refinance becomes a one-event list; restricted growth starts equal to your market growth.
  5. v2.0.0 · Phase 1.5 / 2A
    • Monthly construction draws and capitalized interest; soft-loan terms; maturity/refinance; subsidy streams; restricted-unit schedule; household-size income limits with source notes.
  6. v1.x · MVP & Phase 1 audit
    • Initial pro forma, unlevered IRR, over-funded balancing.